Dow Jones Up But Stock Market Rally Fades Despite Peloton, Oracle Gains; Tesla To Export Made-In-China Cars

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The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite opened higher Friday, as the stock market rally tries to rebound after Thursday’s ugly reversal. But gains are fading.

Apple (AAPL), (AMZN) and Tesla (TSLA)  turned lower.

Nvidia (NVDA),, Microsoft stock and other big techs pointed higher. Peloton Interactive(PTON) jumped on blowout earnings. initially rallied amid reports that the electric car maker will soon export made-in-China vehicles, but shares faded. even as Volkswagen (VWAGY) begins deliveries of its ID.3 electric hatchback today.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said late Thursday that he won’t extend a mid-September deadline for China’s ByteDance to sell its viral video site, TikTok. “It’ll either be closed up or they’ll sell it,” Trump told reporters. “There will be no extension of the TikTok deadline.”

Dow Jones stocks Microsoft (MSFT) and Walmart (WMT) have teamed up on a bid for TikTok, while Oracle (ORCL) is another possible suitor. Microsoft and Walmart were little changed. Oracle stock rallied 4%, moving above a buy point after strong earnings late Thursday. But the software giant has been moving sideways for the past three years, lagging the S&P 500 index since 2011.

Apple stock fell 0.1%, along with Amazon. Adobe and Nvidia advanced less than 1%. Tesla fell 2%.

Peloton stock popped 4% on its first-ever profit, which was well above views. Revenue spiked 172% while the connected at-home fitness leader sees strong demand continuing.

Dow Jones Today

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.1%. The Nasdaq edged lower.

Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Adobe, Nvidia and Amazon stock are all on IBD Leaderboard. Microsoft and Adobe stock are on the IBD Long-Term Leaders list. Amazon, Adobe, Microsoft and Nvidia stock are on the IBD 50.

Stock Market Rally Shaky

A stock market rally bounce would be encouraging after Thursday’s disappointing action. The Nasdaq rose as much as 1.4% soon after the open, hitting its 21-day exponential moving average. But the index quickly reversed lower, closing with a 2% loss, back below the 50-day moving average. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.45% in Thursday’s stock market trading. The S&P 500 index lost 1.8%.

Worse, promising early action in big tech and leading stocks also soured. Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Adobe and Nvidia all reversed lower, below their 21-day lines and deeper in some instances. Tesla closed slightly higher after slashing a big intraday gain.

But as Thursday’s action showed, a strong open doesn’t necessarily indicate how the session will turn out. A strong close would be positive, but wouldn’t substantially change the overall picture. The stock market rally is under pressure, whipsawing on a daily and intraday basis. On the other hand, a weak close, with the Nasdaq undercutting Tuesday’s low and falling significantly below its 50-day line would be a bearish signal.

Don’t forget volume. Over the last five sessions, the lightest trading activity on the Nasdaq came on the sole up day.

Tesla Exports From China

Tesla is gearing up to export electric cars from its Shanghai plant to Asia and Europe, perhaps by year-end or early 2021, according to widespread reports. The Asian markets could include Singapore, Australia, New Zealand as well as Hong Kong and Japan.

Made-in-China Model 3 electric cars should be substantially cheaper than those built at Tesla’s main factory in Fremont, Calif. But the likely Asian targets aren’t big Tesla markets. Europe is a huge and fast-growing electric car market, but Tesla is already building a new factory in Berlin that could be ready to start production in mid-2021. And Tes

Competition took another big step Friday as the VW ID.3 electric car begins deliveries today across Europe. While not a direct Model 3 rival, it’s a cheaper option for drivers. The ID.4 crossover, which will compete with the Model Y, will launch in Europe next month, the U.S. this year and China by early 2021.

Meanwhile, made-in-China exports add to questions about Tesla’s Fremont facility. Along with the Berlin plant and Austin, Texas, plant coming, will there be sufficient demand for Fremont’s capacity? The relatively quick move for made-in-China exports may not be a great sign for demand in China. The Shanghai plant will also begin making the Model Y later this year.

Of course, if Tesla demand booms, overcapacity won’t be an issue. Once again, Tesla news headlines are compatible with the bull and bear thesis. Look for something to give in 2021. In the meantime, Tesla stock is moving solidly higher early Friday, taking another run at its 21-day moving average.

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